Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 60.919436 69.249709 77.790718 87.168527 97.143047 107.404953 118.730272
2025-12-07 48.940729 60.929423 73.798972 88.501330 104.701698 121.890510 141.393040
2025-12-14 40.493044 54.267882 69.595842 87.626298 107.991379 130.049417 155.526781
2025-12-21 33.440799 48.226505 65.259730 85.840793 109.598524 135.787111 166.484858
2025-12-28 30.564990 46.667800 65.711868 89.174891 116.676607 147.358315 183.679455
2026-01-04 27.422705 44.405895 65.028733 90.921226 121.711796 156.445922 197.934873
2026-01-11 23.691939 41.012026 62.667327 90.408448 123.894486 162.097214 208.140116
2026-01-18 20.498508 37.996274 60.520222 89.936087 125.942861 167.446837 217.873939
2026-01-25 18.119666 35.845870 59.287573 90.433677 129.024543 173.900750 228.797650
2026-02-01 15.580389 33.208071 57.229858 89.741837 130.541155 178.417881 237.392261
2026-02-08 13.563049 31.122116 55.750319 89.657725 132.700386 183.618475 246.721728
2026-02-15 11.491578 28.720023 53.678108 88.679242 133.652064 187.300168 254.202532
2026-02-22 10.289292 27.601489 53.340227 89.955562 137.436820 194.432353 265.837800
2026-03-01 9.270751 26.677564 53.212434 91.467700 141.495763 201.889868 277.867808
2026-03-08 7.729624 24.640587 51.344176 90.547589 142.394695 205.452920 285.212440
2026-03-15 6.174810 22.325656 48.907028 88.734407 142.059037 207.437820 290.611134
2026-03-22 5.928053 22.519313 50.257210 92.128965 148.439792 217.677762 305.940509
2026-03-29 5.367852 21.999044 50.464591 93.907266 152.706711 225.302735 318.116688
2026-04-05 4.428320 20.516867 49.076850 93.385151 153.926648 229.124111 325.671828
2026-04-12 3.613644 19.140200 47.764783 92.904205 155.152835 232.919332 333.169908
2026-04-19 3.051233 18.241411 47.170836 93.410843 157.656382 238.291331 342.575262
2026-04-26 2.393355 16.919319 45.783317 92.706417 158.504748 241.557280 349.387431
2026-05-03 1.903843 15.905804 44.850620 92.620771 160.149013 245.803283 357.384348